基于残差测试时自适应图神经网络的盾构机刀盘扭矩预测方法研究
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1.景德镇陶瓷大学机械电子工程学院景德镇333403; 2.北京航空航天大学自动化科学与电气工程学院 北京100191; 3.六盘山实验室银川750021; 4.中铁十四局集团大盾构工程有限公司南通226100

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TH6U455.39

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国家自然科学基金(52265020)项目资助


A residual test-time adaptive graph neural network for predicting cutterhead torque of shield tunneling machines
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1.School of Mechanical and Electronic Engineering, Jingdezhen Ceramic University, Jingdezhen 333403, China; 2.School of Automation Science and Electrical Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing 100191, China; 3.Liupanshan Laboratory, Yinchuan 750021, China; 4.China Railway 14th Bureau Group Large Shield Engineering Co., Ltd., Nantong 226100, China

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    摘要:

    盾构机在复杂地质环境下的掘进参数预测面临数据分布非平稳、噪声干扰及地层突变引发的概念漂移等难题。针对上述问题,提出了一种基于残差测试时自适应图神经网络的预测方法(RTG-Net)。首先,针对跨地层条件下扭矩量纲差异大及统计特性变化剧烈的问题,引入残差学习机制,将绝对值预测转化为增量建模,并结合 Huber 鲁棒损失函数构建稳定优化目标,从而抑制异常噪声对模型的干扰。其次,构建基于特征空间相似性的多尺度动态时空图拓扑,通过异构图卷积与双向长短时记忆网络(BiLSTM)级联架构,解耦瞬时地质状态特征与长期时序演化依赖,从而充分挖掘非连续相似工况下的关联,提升复杂工况下的特征表达能力。最后,针对未知地层引发的概念漂移,设计测试时在线特征自适应策略,通过引入经验回放机制对输入特征权重进行动态更新,实现模型在未知地层条件下的自适应调整。工程验证表明,该方法在跨地层测试集单步预测的决定系数(R2)为 0.992 7,平均绝对误差(MAE)为 73.26 kN·m,均方根误差(RMSE)较对比方法降低 38% 以上。在2~5步的多步预测任务中仍保持较高的精度与稳定性,且平均单步推理时间为 3.13 ms,满足实际工程的实时性要求。该方法有效缓解了跨地层预测的性能衰退,为盾构机的智能前瞻性辅助驾驶提供了技术支撑。

    Abstract:

    The prediction of tunneling parameters for shield machines operating under complex geological conditions is significantly challenged by non-stationary data distributions, noise interference, and concept drift induced by abrupt stratum transitions. To address these issues, this paper proposes a residual test-time adaptive graph neural network (RTG-Net) for cutterhead torque prediction. First, to cope with the large magnitude discrepancies and rapidly varying statistical characteristics of torque signals across heterogeneous strata, a residual learning strategy is introduced to transform absolute-value prediction into incremental modeling. In addition, a robust optimization objective based on the Huber loss function is employed to alleviate the influence of anomalous noise and improve model stability. Second, a multi-scale dynamic spatiotemporal graph topology is constructed according to feature-space similarity. By coupling heterogeneous graph convolution with a cascaded bidirectional long short-term memory (BiLSTM) architecture, the proposed framework effectively decouples instantaneous geological-state representations from long-term temporal evolutionary dependencies. This design enables the extraction of correlations among discontinuous yet similar operating conditions, thereby enhancing feature representation capability under complex geological environments. Finally, to address concept drift caused by previously unseen strata, a test-time online feature adaptation strategy is developed. By introducing an experience replay mechanism, the input feature weights are dynamically updated, enabling adaptive model adjustment under unknown geological conditions without additional retraining. Engineering case studies demonstrate that the proposed method achieves a coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.992 7 and a mean absolute error (MAE) of 73.26 kN·m in single-step prediction tasks on cross-stratum test datasets, while reducing the root mean square error (RMSE) by more than 38% compared with baseline methods. Furthermore, RTG-Net maintains high accuracy and stability in multi-step forecasting tasks ranging from 2 to 5 step prediction horizons. The average inference time is only 3.13 ms per step, satisfying the real-time requirements of practical engineering applications. The proposed method effectively mitigates performance degradation in cross-stratum prediction and provides technical support for intelligent predictive-assisted driving of shield tunneling machines.

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李想,神祥凯,宋欢,杨治国,王兴国.基于残差测试时自适应图神经网络的盾构机刀盘扭矩预测方法研究[J].仪器仪表学报,2026,47(8):105-115

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-10-29
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